Thursday, February 07, 2013

The five possible futures of humanity.

I conduct an undergrad and graduate class presentation about the acceleration of technological innovation and its impact on changing social and cultural “norms”. 
I always talk about my 5 possible scenarios for human kind within the next 30 – 50 years (there are probably more).
- Extinction Scenario – a distinct possibility, if we don’t get our environmental act and societal conflicts under control. If we don’t, then we might deserve this scenario - but what a waste.
- Luddite Scenario – We dismantle technology and return to simpler (my bias: harsher) times. Very unlikely. (Look up Luddites)
- Terminator Scenario – Named after the movie, we are extinguished by the machines we create. I don’t believe in this scenario due to my view of the below mentioned Singularity.
- Status Quo Scenario – nothing changes from here on out. Yea, right. See previous 150,000 years of human history for reference. Technology has always changed us. Always will. Man the magic maker.
- Singularity Scenario – We blend into the machine, and humans become the ghosts in the machine. In such a scenario, a Terminator future is unlikely, as we would be committing suicide.
 
I always start the rest of the conversation with the students with this observation: “The greatest challenge to humanity in the next 50 years is defining exactly what being human is. Especially as we continue to augment the human experience with extensions, reality augmentation and genetic engineering.”

We may never be able to answer this question. I don’t think we ever could. I don’t think we ever should.
"For first we use machines, then we wear machines, then we become machines."
Kim William Gordon
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www.kimwilliamgordon.com 

Networked children: Cloudizens

I read a study a while ago that was conducted with 12-14 year old young girls, and their daily communications habits. This study group averaged 6-8 hours of "on line" time per day - between Facebook, twitter, texting, on and on.

The study itself was very interesting, but one of the little girls quotes struck me - she said: "when I don't have my phone, I am not sure who I am".

It seems to me we have already moved beyond the "digital natives" and now have a generation of "cloud citizens". or "cloudizens". Yes, I coined that term.

Cloudizens see themselves as a group of consciousness - and no longer individuals. They vet everything to their group. I have no idea what this portends, but it seems to me that this thinking is closer in thinking to the hunter / gatherer period (tight knit groups) than the agricultural and industrial age. 


"For first we use machines, then we wear machines, then we become machines."
Kim William Gordon
LinkedIn
Facebook
www.bitnus.com
www.kimwilliamgordon.com